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Abstract: Most people who speak on trends in electronic commerce will make predictions as to the overwhelming increase in internet usage over the last few years and the enormous potential market for buyers and vendors alike created by access to the internet. However, I have some doubts as to the validity of many such predictions, in particular since estimates on the dollar-volume of electronic commerce transactions in 2002 or 2003 (i. E. Not even four years from now), may vary between 5-10 billion us-dollars(3), approximately 300 billion us-dollars (4), to 1.2 trillion us-dollars(5). |
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